Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.038296 0.041692 0.045116 0.048820 0.052709 0.056665 0.060986
2025-10-12 0.032791 0.037795 0.043012 0.048833 0.055123 0.061692 0.069048
2025-10-19 0.028976 0.035157 0.041794 0.049397 0.057809 0.066781 0.077024
2025-10-26 0.025975 0.033044 0.040842 0.049980 0.060298 0.071499 0.084488
2025-11-02 0.022126 0.029608 0.038096 0.048278 0.060009 0.072962 0.088209
2025-11-09 0.019582 0.027450 0.036605 0.047814 0.060952 0.075667 0.093203
2025-11-16 0.017518 0.025683 0.035415 0.047557 0.062013 0.078411 0.098164
2025-11-23 0.016573 0.025204 0.035690 0.048971 0.064973 0.083301 0.105557
2025-11-30 0.015600 0.024600 0.035744 0.050060 0.067505 0.087667 0.112334
2025-12-07 0.014547 0.023807 0.035494 0.050721 0.069484 0.091357 0.118307
2025-12-14 0.013359 0.022746 0.034833 0.050813 0.070726 0.094143 0.123200
2025-12-21 0.012725 0.022389 0.035040 0.051962 0.073236 0.098423 0.129851
2025-12-28 0.011331 0.020905 0.033736 0.051181 0.073383 0.099914 0.133265
2026-01-04 0.010455 0.020101 0.033290 0.051467 0.074837 0.102975 0.138557
2026-01-11 0.009805 0.019581 0.033192 0.052181 0.076810 0.106659 0.144602
2026-01-18 0.009193 0.019073 0.033076 0.052847 0.078708 0.110249 0.150536
2026-01-25 0.007874 0.017367 0.031210 0.051114 0.077489 0.109958 0.151736
2026-02-01 0.007057 0.016388 0.030319 0.050645 0.077858 0.111607 0.155276
2026-02-08 0.006369 0.015565 0.029608 0.050386 0.078471 0.113538 0.159150
2026-02-15 0.006194 0.015598 0.030150 0.051855 0.081351 0.118322 0.166548
2026-02-22 0.005943 0.015479 0.030454 0.052984 0.083783 0.122545 0.173267
2026-03-01 0.005600 0.015170 0.030451 0.053671 0.085621 0.126019 0.179062
2026-03-08 0.005144 0.014614 0.030045 0.053766 0.086659 0.128468 0.183584